## ----include = FALSE---------------------------------------------------------- #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # global parameters---- op <- par() # save original par # WBC parameters wavelet <- "morlet" dt <- 1 dj <- 1 num.sim <- 5 theta <- switch(1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.5, 1) # mm/h or mm/d QM <- switch(3, "MBCr","MRS","QDM") # MBC include MBCp, MBCr, MBCn variable <- switch(2, "sine", "prep") knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>", out.width = "85%", fig.width = 9, fig.height = 9, dpi=300, fig.align = "center", fig.pos = "h!" ) ## ----setup-------------------------------------------------------------------- library(WQM) library(MBC) library(WaveletComp) library(tidyr) library(dplyr) library(data.table) library(scales) library(ggplot2) ## ----dat---------------------------------------------------------------------- data(NWP.rain) summary(NWP.rain) station.no <- levels(NWP.rain$Station) Ind.samp <- c(34,75)[1]; Ind.samp station.samp <- station.no[Ind.samp]; station.samp station.samp NWP.rain.h <- NWP.rain %>% na.omit() %>% subset(Station==station.samp) summary(NWP.rain.h) #obs overview plot(NWP.rain.h$obs, type="l",col=1, ylab="P", xlab=NA) lines(NWP.rain.h$mod, type="l", col=2) ## ----cwt---------------------------------------------------------------------- folds <- cut(seq(1,nrow(NWP.rain.h)),breaks=2,labels=FALSE) subset <- which(folds==1, arr.ind=TRUE) variable <- "prep" PRand <- TRUE seed <- 2021-11-28 ###===============================###===============================### if(TRUE){ data <- list() l <- 1 data[[l]] <- NWP.rain.h #cat("Station:", l) ### list for storing results data_sim <- list() data[[l]]$index <- as.numeric(format(data[[l]]$Date,format='%j')) summary(data[[l]]$obs[subset]) wt_o <- t(WaveletComp::WaveletTransform(x=data[[l]]$obs[subset],dt=dt,dj=dj)$Wave) wt_m <- t(WaveletComp::WaveletTransform(x=data[[l]]$mod[subset],dt=dt,dj=dj)$Wave) wt_p <- t(WaveletComp::WaveletTransform(x=data[[l]]$mod[-subset],dt=dt,dj=dj)$Wave) if(l==1) print(paste0("No of decomposition level: ", ncol(wt_o))) ### return CWT coefficients as a complex matrix with rows and columns representing times and scales, respectively. wt_o_mat <- as.matrix(wt_o) real.o <- Re(wt_o_mat) modulus.o <- Mod(wt_o_mat) ### derive modulus of complex numbers (radius) phases.o <- Arg(wt_o_mat) ### extract phases (argument) apply(modulus.o, 2, var) wt_m_mat <- as.matrix(wt_m) real.m <- Re(wt_m_mat) modulus.m <- Mod(wt_m_mat) phases.m <- Arg(wt_m_mat) wt_p_mat <- as.matrix(wt_p) real.p <- Re(wt_p_mat) modulus.p <- Mod(wt_p_mat) phases.p <- Arg(wt_p_mat) } ## ----fig---------------------------------------------------------------------- # CWT plot---- # selected decomposition level to plot level.samp <- c(seq(1,ncol(modulus.o), by=1));level.samp df.cwt <- data.frame(No=data[[l]]$Date[subset], obs=data[[l]]$obs[subset],modulus.o) %>% gather(Group, Value,2:(ncol(modulus.o)+2)) df.cwt_sub <- subset(df.cwt, Group %in% c("obs",paste0("X",level.samp))) summary(factor(df.cwt_sub$Group)) ##observations---- p0 <- ggplot(subset(df.cwt_sub,Group=="obs"), aes(x=No, y=Value)) + geom_line()+ #facet_grid(Group~., switch="both") + #facet_wrap(Group~., strip.position = "left", ncol=1, labeller = label_parsed) + scale_y_continuous(breaks = pretty_breaks(n = 4)) + scale_x_datetime(date_breaks="3 month", date_labels ="%Y-%m", expand = c(0,0)) + #scale_x_continuous(breaks = scales::pretty_breaks(n = 10)) + labs(y="Precipitation(mm/h)") + theme_bw() + theme(text = element_text(size = 16), plot.margin = unit(c(0.5,1,0.5, 1), "cm"), panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), panel.grid.major = element_blank(), strip.text.y = element_text(size=16), # axis.text.y = element_text(angle = 90, hjust=0.5, size=12), # axis.title.x = element_text(size=16), # axis.title.y = element_text(size=16), strip.background = element_blank(), strip.placement = "outside", axis.title.x = element_blank(), #axis.title.y = element_blank() ) p0 ##amplitudes of observations---- df.cwt_sub$Group <- factor(df.cwt_sub$Group, labels=c("obs",paste('italic(s)[',level.samp-1,']',sep = ''))) p1 <- ggplot(subset(df.cwt_sub,Group!="obs"), aes(x=No, y=Value)) + geom_line()+ #facet_grid(Group~., switch="both") + facet_wrap(Group~., strip.position = "left", ncol=1, labeller = label_parsed) + scale_y_continuous(breaks = pretty_breaks(n = 4)) + scale_x_datetime(date_breaks="3 month", date_labels ="%Y-%m",expand = c(0,0)) + #scale_x_continuous(breaks = scales::pretty_breaks(n = 10)) + labs(y="Amplitudes", color="temp") + theme_bw() + theme(text = element_text(size = 16), plot.margin = unit(c(0.2,0.4,0.5, 0), "cm"), panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), panel.grid.major = element_blank(), strip.text.y = element_text(size=16), # axis.text.y = element_text(angle = 90, hjust=0.5, size=12), # axis.title.x = element_text(size=16), # axis.title.y = element_text(size=16), strip.background = element_blank(), strip.placement = "outside", axis.title.x = element_blank(), axis.title.y = element_text(margin = margin(t = 0, r = -2, b = 0, l = 0)) #axis.title.y = element_blank() ) p1 %>% print() ##phases of observations---- df.cwt <- data.frame(No=data[[l]]$Date[subset], obs=data[[l]]$obs[subset],phases.o) %>% gather(Group, Value,2:(ncol(modulus.o)+2)) df.cwt_sub <- subset(df.cwt, Group %in% c("obs",paste0("X",level.samp))) summary(factor(df.cwt_sub$Group)) df.cwt_sub$Group <- factor(df.cwt_sub$Group, labels=c("obs",paste('italic(s)[',level.samp-1,']',sep = ''))) p2 <- ggplot(subset(df.cwt_sub,Group!="obs"), aes(x=No, y=Value)) + geom_line()+ #facet_grid(Group~., switch="both") + facet_wrap(Group~., strip.position = "left", ncol=1, labeller = label_parsed) + scale_y_continuous(limits=c(-pi,pi),breaks = pretty_breaks(n = 4)) + #scale_x_continuous(breaks = scales::pretty_breaks(n = 10)) + scale_x_datetime(date_breaks="3 month", date_labels ="%Y-%m",expand = c(0,0)) + labs(y="Phases",color="temp") + theme_bw() + theme(text = element_text(size = 16), plot.margin = unit(c(0.2,0.4,0.5, 0), "cm"), panel.border = element_rect(color = 'black'), panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), panel.grid.major = element_blank(), strip.text.y = element_text(size=16), # axis.text.y = element_text(angle = 90, hjust=0.5, size=12), # axis.title.x = element_text(size=16), # axis.title.y = element_text(size=16), strip.background = element_blank(), strip.placement = "outside", axis.title.x = element_blank(), axis.title.y = element_text(margin = margin(t = 0, r = -2, b = 0, l = 0)) #axis.title.y = element_blank() ) p2 %>% print() ## ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- if(QM %like% "MBC"){ modulus.tmp <- do.call(QM,list(o.c=modulus.o, m.c=modulus.m, m.p=modulus.p, ratio.seq=rep(TRUE, ncol(modulus.m)), #trace=TRUE, silent=TRUE,n.tau=100 )) modulus.bcc <- modulus.tmp$mhat.c modulus.bcf <- modulus.tmp$mhat.p } else if(QM=="MRS") { modulus.tmp <- do.call(QM,list(o.c=modulus.o, m.c=modulus.m, m.p=modulus.p)) modulus.bcc <- modulus.tmp$mhat.c modulus.bcf <- modulus.tmp$mhat.p } else if(QM=="QDM") { #cat("QDM with ratio=T \n") modulus.tmp <- lapply(1:ncol(modulus.o), function(i) QDM(o.c=modulus.o[,i], m.c=modulus.m[,i], m.p=modulus.p[,i], ratio=FALSE)) modulus.bcc <- sapply(modulus.tmp, function(ls) ls$mhat.c) modulus.bcf <- sapply(modulus.tmp, function(ls) ls$mhat.p) } sum(modulus.bcc<0) sum(modulus.bcf<0) modulus.bcf[modulus.bcf<0] <-0 modulus.bcc[modulus.bcc<0] <-0 phases.tmp <- lapply(1:ncol(phases.o), function(i) QDM(o.c=phases.o[,i], m.c=phases.m[,i], m.p=phases.p[,i])) phases.bcc <- sapply(phases.tmp, function(ls) ls$mhat.c) phases.bcf <- sapply(phases.tmp, function(ls) ls$mhat.p) ## modulus---- df.modulus <- rbind(data.frame(mod="obs",no=data[[l]]$Date[subset],modulus.o), data.frame(mod="cur",no=data[[l]]$Date[subset],modulus.m), data.frame(mod="bcc",no=data[[l]]$Date[subset],modulus.bcc)) %>% gather(lev, amp, 3:((ncol(modulus.o)+2))) #%>% mutate(amp=as.numeric(amp), subset=as.numeric(subset)) summary(df.modulus$mod) df.modulus$mod <- factor(df.modulus$mod, levels = c("obs","cur","bcc"), labels = c("obs"="Observed","mod"="Raw","QM")) df.modulus_sub <- subset(df.modulus, lev %in% c(paste0("X",level.samp))) summary(factor(df.modulus_sub$lev)) df.modulus_sub$lev <- factor(df.modulus_sub$lev, labels=c(paste('italic(s)[',level.samp-1,']',sep = ''))) p3 <- ggplot(df.modulus_sub, aes(x=no, y=amp, color=mod)) + geom_line(linewidth=0.5)+ #facet_grid(Group~., switch="both") + facet_wrap(lev~., strip.position = "left", ncol=1, labeller = label_parsed) + scale_color_manual(values=c("black","red","blue"))+ #scale_y_continuous(limits=c(-pi,pi),breaks = scales::pretty_breaks(n = 3)) + #scale_x_continuous(breaks = scales::pretty_breaks(n = 10)) + scale_x_datetime(date_breaks="3 month", date_labels ="%Y-%m", expand = c(0,0)) + labs(color=NULL, x="Date") + theme_bw() + theme(text = element_text(size = 12), plot.margin = unit(c(0.2,0.1,0.5, 0), "cm"), panel.border = element_rect(color = 'black'), panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), panel.grid.major = element_blank(), strip.text.y = element_text(size=16), # axis.text.y = element_text(angle = 90, hjust=0.5, size=12), # axis.title.x = element_text(size=16), # axis.title.y = element_text(size=16), #legend.position = 'none', legend.position = c(0.68,0.98), legend.direction = "horizontal", legend.background = element_rect(fill = "transparent"), strip.background = element_blank(), strip.placement = "outside", #axis.title.x = element_blank(), axis.title.y = element_blank() ) p3 summary(df.modulus_sub) p4 <- ggplot(df.modulus_sub) + stat_ecdf(aes(x=amp, color=mod, size=mod), geom = "step",pad = TRUE) + facet_wrap(lev~., strip.position = "left", ncol=1, labeller = label_parsed)+ scale_x_continuous(trans="log2",limits = c(1/2^10,16), breaks=c(0.001,0.05,1,6)) + #scale_x_continuous(trans="sqrt",limits = c(0,4), breaks=c(0,1,2,4)) + scale_color_manual(values=c("black","red","blue"))+ scale_size_manual(values=c(1,0.5,0.5))+ #guides(color=guide_legend(override.aes = list(size=5))) + labs(color=NULL, size=NULL, x="log2") + theme_bw() + theme(text = element_text(size = 12), plot.margin = unit(c(0.2,0.1,0.5, 0), "cm"), panel.border = element_rect(color = 'black'), panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), panel.grid.major = element_blank(), strip.text.y = element_text(size=16), # axis.text.y = element_text(angle = 90, hjust=0.5, size=12), # axis.title.x = element_text(size=16), # axis.title.y = element_text(size=16), legend.position = 'none', strip.background = element_blank(), strip.placement = "outside", #axis.title.x = element_blank(), axis.title.y = element_blank() ) p4 ## ----Prand-------------------------------------------------------------------- # Phase random - validation same for calibration noise_mat <- list() for (r in 1:num.sim) { data.obs <- as.vector(sapply(data, function(ls) ls$obs[subset])) ts_wn <- sample(data.obs, size=length(data[[1]]$obs[-subset]), replace=T) wt_noise <- t(WaveletComp::WaveletTransform(x=ts_wn,dt=dt,dj=dj)$Wave) noise_mat[[r]] <- as.matrix(wt_noise) } phases.rand <- lapply(1:num.sim, function(r) { tmp <- Arg(noise_mat[[r]]) ord.phases <- apply(phases.p, 2, order) #ord.phases <- apply(phases.p, 2, order) tmp.rank <- apply(tmp, 2, sort) tmp.n <- sapply(1:ncol(tmp), function(ii) {tmp[ord.phases[,ii],ii] <- tmp.rank[,ii]; return(tmp[,ii])}) return(tmp.n) }) ## bcf---- mat_new_val <- matrix(complex(modulus=modulus.bcf,argument=phases.p),ncol=ncol(phases.p)) rec_val <- fun_icwt(x.wave=mat_new_val,dt=dt,dj=dj) if(variable=="prep") rec_val[rec_val<=theta] <- 0 ### apply wavelet reconstruction to randomized signal---- mat_val_r <- prsim(modulus.bcf, phases.p, noise_mat) data_sim_val <- sapply(1:num.sim, function(r) fun_icwt(x.wave=mat_val_r[[r]], dt=dt, dj=dj)) if(variable=="prep") data_sim_val[data_sim_val<=theta] <- 0 colnames(data_sim_val) <- paste0("r",seq(1:num.sim)) data.val <- data[[l]][-subset,] data.val$bcf <- rec_val data.val <- data.frame(data.val, data_sim_val) summary(data.val) ## ----qm----------------------------------------------------------------------- # QM approach------------------------------------------------------------------- for(k_fold in 1){ data.o <- data[[l]]$obs[subset]; data.m <- data[[l]]$mod[subset]; data.p <- data[[l]]$mod[-subset]; data.tmp <- QDM(o.c=data.o, m.c=data.m, m.p=data.p, ratio=TRUE)#, ratio.max = 1, trace=theta)) data.bcc <- data.tmp$mhat.c data.bcf <- data.tmp$mhat.p } ## ----comp--------------------------------------------------------------------- df_fut <- cbind(data.val[,c('Date',"obs","mod","bcf",paste0("r",1:num.sim))],qm=data.bcf) %>% gather(Group, Value,2:(4+num.sim+1)) summary(factor(df_fut$Group)) summary(df_fut) p5 <- ggplot(data=df_fut,aes(x=Value,color = Group, size=Group)) + stat_ecdf(aes(color = Group, size=Group), geom = "step", pad = FALSE) + #stat_density(geom='line', position='identity') + #facet_grid(W~Station, scales = "free") + #, labeller = labeller(Grid = Predictor.labs)) + # scale_color_manual(values=c("black","red","green","blue"))+#, # scale_size_manual(values=c(1,1,0.5,0.5))+ scale_color_manual(values = c("Black",alpha("Red",0.6),alpha("green",0.6), alpha("blue",0.6), rep('grey',5))) + scale_size_manual(values=c(1,1,0.5,0.5, rep(0.1,5))) + #labels=c("obs","mod.c","mod.bcc")) + scale_x_continuous(limits=c(0, 20), breaks = pretty_breaks(n = 3)) + #labs(color=paste0(variable.ncep[i], "-level: ",level[j])) + guides(color=guide_legend(override.aes = list(alpha=1)), size=guide_legend(override.aes = list(size=1))) + theme_bw() + theme(text = element_text(size = 16), plot.margin = unit(c(1,1,0.5, 1), "cm"), # panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), # panel.grid.major = element_blank(), # axis.text.y = element_text(angle = 90, hjust=0.5, size=12), # axis.title.x = element_text(size=16), # axis.title.y = element_text(size=16), legend.title=element_blank(), axis.title.x = element_blank(), axis.title.y = element_blank() ) p5